Predictions, key stats and nuggets for every NFL Week 16 matchup: Who will win each game? What’s at stake?

1 year ago

6:45 AM ET

ESPN staff

The Week 16 NFL schedule for the 2022 season is stacked with large matchups -- including 3 connected Christmas Day -- and we've got you covered with what you request to cognize heading into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters bring america the biggest keys to each crippled and a bold prediction for each matchup.

Additionally, ESPN Stats & Information probe provides a large stat to cognize and a betting nugget for each contest, and our Football Power Index (FPI) goes wrong the numbers with a crippled projection. ESPN researcher Kyle Soppe hands retired adjuvant fantasy football intel, arsenic well. Finally, Seth Walder and Eric Moody springiness america last people picks for each game. Everything you privation to cognize is present successful 1 spot to assistance you get acceptable for a loaded play of NFL football. (And remember, astir NFL games are connected Saturday this weekend.)

Let's get into the afloat Week 16 slate, including Josh Allen vs. Justin Fields, the Giants and Vikings looking to marque a statement, the Eagles and Cowboys battling for NFC East supremacy and Aaron Rodgers successful Miami. It each culminates with a "Monday Night Football" matchup betwixt the Chargers and the Colts connected ESPN. (Game times are Saturday unless different noted.)

Thursday: JAX 19, NYJ 3

Seahawks (7-7) astatine Chiefs (11-3)

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: KC -10 (49.5)

What to ticker for: The Chiefs pb the NFL successful scoring and scored much than 40 points against 3 of their NFC opponents, including the NFL person successful scoring defence (49ers) and the squad that's past (Cardinals). Here travel the Seahawks, who are 29th successful points allowed astatine 25.4 per game. It would look the Chiefs are headed to different large number, though possibly the predicted game-time somesthesia of astir 10 degrees volition play a factor. If it does crook into a high-scoring game, tin the Seahawks support up? Maybe. The Chiefs allowed a combined 52 points successful the past 2 weeks to low-scoring teams successful the Broncos and Texans, truthful they look vulnerable. -- Adam Teicher

Bold prediction: Geno Smith volition acceptable a vocation precocious successful walk attempts with astatine slightest 45. The Seahawks are facing the NFL's highest-scoring offense, their defence is reeling and they haven't had overmuch of a tally crippled to trust connected implicit the past month. This has the makings of a crippled successful which the Seahawks are playing from down each day and needing Smith's limb to support them successful it. -- Brady Henderson

Stat to know: Patrick Mahomes has won 15 consecutive regular-season games against the NFC, which is tied with Bobby Hebert for the longest triumph streak successful interconference games since the 1970 merger, according to Elias Sports Bureau data.

What's astatine stake: The AFC West champion Chiefs present person a 43% accidental to gain the No. 1 effect successful the league and a first-round bye, per ESPN's FPI. That could emergence to 48% with a triumph oregon autumn to 13% with a loss. The Seahawks, connected the different hand, are conscionable trying to get in. They person a 34% accidental to marque the playoffs, which could leap to 72% with a triumph oregon descent to 29% with a loss. See playoff picture.

Injuries: Seahawks | Chiefs

What to cognize for fantasy: No player, careless of position, has scored much phantasy points implicit the past 2 weeks than Chiefs moving backmost Jerick McKinnon. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Kansas City's past 4 location games person gone nether the total. Read more.

Moody's pick: Chiefs 34, Seahawks 24
Walder's pick: Chiefs 33, Seahawks 27
FPI prediction: KC, 87% (by an mean of 13.5 points)

Matchup must-reads: Seahawks WR Lockett has surgery, could instrumentality adjacent week ... Chiefs among Super Bowl favorites, but 3 troubling trends loom

Giants (8-5-1) astatine Vikings (11-3)

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: MIN -4.5 (48)

What to ticker for: The Vikings person already clinched the NFC North and person a minimal accidental astatine the No. 1 seed. So the Giants volition person overmuch much to play for successful this game; they tin clinch a playoff spot with a triumph and immoderate help. Vikings manager Kevin O'Connell said this week that helium would beryllium mindful of drawback counts for cardinal veterans implicit the last 3 weeks of the season. Tailback Dalvin Cook could astir apt usage immoderate other remainder aft playing much than 700 snaps successful 2022, the highest full done Week 15 successful immoderate play of his career. -- Kevin Seifert

Bold prediction: Justin Jefferson gets double-digit catches and implicit 200 yards receiving. Why not? He did it a fewer weeks ago, and arsenic 1 Giants subordinate explained, "There's thing helium can't do!" The Vikings tin determination him astir the field, and the Giants don't person anyone who tin enactment with him. It doesn't assistance that No. 1 country Adoree' Jackson is retired with a genu injury. Jefferson vs. Fabian Moreau? Mismatch. Jefferson should person his mode and compile his 2nd 200-yard crippled successful 3 weeks. -- Jordan Raanan

Stat to know: The Vikings' 10 one-score wins this play are tied for the astir one-score wins successful a play successful NFL history. The Giants are 8-2-1 successful one-score games successful 2022.

What's astatine stake: Having already secured the NFC North, the Vikings are present conscionable warring for seeding. Chances don't look large for the No. 1 seed, though (0.3%, per ESPN's FPI). The Giants tin clinch a playoff spot with a triumph and losses from 2 of Washington, Detroit and Seattle. They person a 91% accidental to marque the playoffs, which goes up to 99% with a triumph oregon down to 87% with a loss. See playoff picture.

Injuries: Giants | Vikings

What to cognize for fantasy: Kirk Cousins has been a top-10 phantasy backmost successful 3 of his past 4 games (QB4 past week successful the comeback win). See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Overs are 9-3 successful Minnesota's past 12 games, including 4 consecutive going over. Read more.

Moody's pick: Giants 28, Vikings 24
Walder's pick: Vikings 27, Giants 21
FPI prediction: MIN, 70.2% (by an mean of 6.1 points)

Matchup must-reads: A steadfast antiaircraft beforehand buoys Giants' playoff push ... Jefferson, Hill successful contention to interruption receiving mark ... Giants' Jones attributes betterment to learning 'what wins successful the NFL' ... Vikings weary of amerciable hits aimed astatine Jefferson

Bengals (10-4) astatine Patriots (7-7)

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: CIN -3 (41.5)

What to ticker for: Patriots OLB Matthew Judon is coming disconnected a crippled successful which helium played 49 antiaircraft snaps and didn't registry connected the stat sheet. In a crippled successful which New England indispensable find ways to disrupt Bengals QB Joe Burrow, it volition request Judon to instrumentality to his anterior form. The Bengals fertile 26th successful the NFL successful rushing yards per crippled but sixth successful passing yards per game, which reflects however manager Bill Belichick figures to tailor his crippled program toward defending the pass. -- Mike Reiss

Bold prediction: The Bengals' moving backs volition person 100 combined receiving yards successful a win. New England has a fierce walk unreserved that should springiness the Bengals problems. That means Joe Mixon and Samaje Perine should beryllium speedy options for Burrow successful the passing game. -- Ben Baby

Stat to know: The Bengals person mislaid 7 consecutive roadworthy games astatine the Patriots, with the latest triumph coming successful 1986.

What's astatine stake: Cincinnati clinched a playoff spot, and it holds a 60% accidental to triumph the AFC North, per ESPN's FPI. New England, connected the different hand, has a 15% accidental of making the playoffs, which is projected to summation to 28% with a triumph oregon driblet to 8% with a loss. See playoff picture.

Injuries: Bengals | Patriots

What to cognize for fantasy: Mixon's adjacent week arsenic a top-15 moving backmost since the Week 10 bye volition beryllium his first. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Cincinnati is 11-1 against the dispersed (ATS) successful its past 12 games with six consecutive covers. Read more.

Moody's pick: Bengals 30, Patriots 17
Walder's pick: Bengals 20, Patriots 19
FPI prediction: CIN, 63.9% (by an mean of 4.2 points)

Matchup must-reads: Source: Bengals DE Hubbard (cald) to miss time ... Patriots' Jones keeps 'kid-like joy' of shot by mentoring young QBs ... Bengals' Hurst feels acceptable to instrumentality from injury ... Patriots accidental laterals vs. Raiders were improvised; 'have to beryllium smarter' ... Bengals DE Hendrickson to play with breached wrist

Bills (11-3) astatine Bears (3-11)

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: BUF -8.5 (39.5)

What to ticker for: Bills backmost Josh Allen and wide receiver Stefon Diggs are adjacent to statistical milestones successful Week 16, with Allen 143 yards distant from his 3rd consecutive play with 4,000 passing yards and Diggs conscionable 1 gait distant from signaling the sixth 1,300-receiving-yard play successful franchise history. Meanwhile, Chicago's seven-game losing streak is the 2nd longest successful the NFL. With 1 much loss, the Bears volition necktie their longest streak successful squad past astatine 8 (2002). -- Courtney Cronin

Bold prediction: The Bears volition unreserved for much than 187 yards, the team's league-leading mean per game, contempt the Bills giving up an mean of 106.1 rushing yards (sixth fewest). The Bills volition beryllium putting an accent connected stopping the tally aft the Dolphins ran for 188 yards -- the archetypal clip Buffalo has allowed implicit 100 yards since Week 10. But with a precocious astir 10 degrees expected, and 2 Bills antiaircraft tackles -- Ed Oliver and Jordan Phillips -- questionable for the game, determination should beryllium opportunities for the Bears' rushing attack. -- Alaina Getzenberg

Stat to know: Allen has thrown for 3,857 passing yards this play and is seeking his 3rd consecutive play with 4,000 passing yards. The lone different 4,000-yard play successful Bills past was by Drew Bledsoe successful 2002.

What's astatine stake: The Bills clinched a playoff spot past week and tin present instrumentality location the AFC East rubric with a win/tie oregon a Dolphins loss/tie. And per ESPN's FPI, they person a 56% accidental to get the No. 1 effect successful the AFC (hold head-to-head tiebreaker implicit KC). A triumph pushes that to 63%, portion a nonaccomplishment drops it to 22%. The Bears are eliminated and slotted astatine No. 2 successful the projected draught bid (14% accidental to instrumentality the apical spot). See playoff picture.

Injuries: Bills | Bears

What to cognize for fantasy: Gabe Davis has not been a top-40 phantasy receiver successful 4 consecutive games but does get a favorable matchup successful presumption of heavy passing. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: All 7 Buffalo roadworthy games person gone nether the total. Read more.

Moody's pick: Bills 30, Bears 20
Walder's pick: Bears 24, Bills 23
FPI prediction: BUF, 80.8% (by an mean of 10.3 points)

Matchup must-reads: Injured Bills stars Hyde, Miller impacting squad disconnected the field ... Bears' Fields becomes 3rd backmost to unreserved for 1,000 yards successful a season ... ... Bears' Jenkins retired of infirmary aft injuring cervix successful game

Falcons (5-9) astatine Ravens (9-5)

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: BAL -6.5 (35)

What to ticker for: This features 2 of the apical moving games successful the NFL: The Ravens fertile No. 2 and the Falcons are No. 3. When totaling much than 180 yards rushing successful a game, Baltimore is 4-2 and Atlanta is 1-3. The Ravens person outrushed their hostile successful 13 consecutive games, the longest streak successful franchise history. Baltimore moving backmost J.K. Dobbins has gained 245 yards successful 2 games since returning from injured reserve, which leads the NFL implicit that span. -- Jamison Hensley

Bold prediction: Falcons moving backmost Tyler Allgeier volition person different 100-yard time adjacent though he's facing a top-five tally defense. If there's 1 happening Atlanta has shown each season, it is that it tin tally connected anyone -- and is consenting to bash so. Allgeier, coming disconnected a career-high 139-yard crippled against New Orleans, has averaged astatine slightest 4.9 yards per transportation each of the past 4 weeks. That continues arsenic Allgeier ends up with 115 yards and a touchdown against the Ravens. -- Michael Rothstein

Stat to know: The Ravens are 3-0 vs. the NFC South this season. They could expanse an NFC part for the 4th clip successful franchise past and the 3rd clip successful the past 4 seasons.

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Stephen A. Smith breaks down wherefore Lamar Jackson should see signing determination too Baltimore successful the offseason.

What's astatine stake: Baltimore tin clinch a playoff spot successful Week 16 with a triumph and a nonaccomplishment by either the Dolphins oregon Patriots. It besides has aggregate clinching scenarios successful the lawsuit of a tie, and it could adjacent clinch successful 1 precise circumstantial losing concern (losses from the Patriots, Browns, Raiders, Titans and Colts). Atlanta, meanwhile, is clinging to its playoff hopes (a 3% chance, per ESPN's FPI, that rises to 14% with a win). The Falcons are projected to prime astatine No. 7 successful the draught and person a 19% accidental to determination into the apical five. See playoff picture.

Injuries: Falcons | Ravens

What to cognize for fantasy: Dobbins has been a top-20 moving backmost successful some of his weeks backmost from wounded and appears to beryllium the wide featured backmost successful Baltimore. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Baltimore is 1-4 ATS successful its past 5 games. Atlanta is 2-6 ATS successful its past 8 games. Read more.

Moody's pick: Ravens 26, Falcons 13
Walder's pick: Ravens 19, Falcons 16
FPI prediction: BAL, 81% (by an mean of 10.6 points)

Matchup must-reads: Falcons DC Pees cleared to question to Baltimore ... From .05% to 13%: Examining the Ravens' 10 playoff-clinching scenarios ... Ravens assertion WR Watkins arsenic Duvernay enactment connected IR

Saints (5-9) astatine Browns (6-8)

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: CLE -3 (32)

What to ticker for: Due successful ample portion to Saturday's snowy, windy and frigid forecast successful Cleveland, the full for this crippled is conscionable 32 points. That would beryllium the lowest full for immoderate NFL crippled since 2008 Browns-Bengals, erstwhile the full was 31.5 (Cincinnati won that game, 14-0). -- Jake Trotter

Bold prediction: The Saints volition person astatine slightest 40 rushing attempts with precocious winds and snowfall expected successful Cleveland. It volition look little similar the 39-32 triumph against the Seahawks (48 rushing attempts for 235 yards, 4 of which were kneel-downs), erstwhile the Saints mixed successful astatine slightest 200 yards passing, and much similar the Saints-Broncos crippled successful 2020, successful which some teams played it harmless and ran connected astir each play due to the fact that of subordinate shortages owed to COVID-19. -- Katherine Terrell

Stat to know: Nick Chubb has 48 vocation rushing touchdowns and is seeking to go the 3rd subordinate successful Browns past to scope 50 vocation rushing TDs (Jim Brown, 106; Leroy Kelly, 74).

What's astatine stake: We aren't apt to spot either squad successful the playoffs, arsenic ESPN's FPI says the Saints person a 3% accidental portion the Browns are beneath 1%. Worse, neither squad has its first-round draught prime successful April. See playoff picture.

Injuries: Saints | Browns

What to cognize for fantasy: Amari Cooper's adjacent decorativeness arsenic a top-40 receiver with Deshaun Watson nether halfway volition beryllium his first. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: New Orleans is 1-5 ATS connected the roadworthy this season. Cleveland has won and covered 3 consecutive location games. Read more.

Moody's pick: Browns 26, Saints 20
Walder's pick: Saints 20, Browns 17
FPI prediction: CLE, 54.8% (by an mean of 1.4 points)

Matchup must-reads: Saints TE Johnson is simply a TikTok star, a juggling aficionado and, lately, a TD machine ... Browns' Watson tosses TD walk successful 'special' location debut ... Saints regularisation retired Olave, enactment Landry connected IR ... Browns' improving defence excessively little, excessively late

Texans (1-12-1) astatine Titans (7-7)

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: TEN -3 (35.5)

What to ticker for: The Titans' pb implicit the Jaguars successful the AFC South has dwindled to fractional a crippled successful the midst of their four-game losing streak. As the consciousness of urgency intensifies, the Texans could beryllium the cleanable remedy, but their two-quarterback strategy volition trial Tennessee's defense. Watch for backmost Malik Willis, who volition apt marque his 3rd NFL commencement aft showing an improved quality to advancement done his reads successful fill-in clip for Ryan Tannehill past week, according to Mike Vrabel. -- Turron Davenport

Bold prediction: The Texans snag their 2nd triumph of the season. The Titans are without backmost Tannehill, truthful Willis volition start. It'll beryllium the 2nd clip the Texans look Willis, who threw for 55 yards and an interception successful their archetypal matchup. The Texans allowed Derrick Henry to unreserved for 219 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Texans volition beryllium amended prepared for the Henry show, arsenic they're allowing 139 rushing yards per crippled successful the past 4 games, an betterment from the 178 yards per crippled they were giving up before. -- DJ Bien-Aime

Stat to know: The Titans haven't mislaid 5 consecutive games wrong a play since a six-game streak from Weeks 2 to 8 successful 2015 -- the play earlier they drafted Henry.

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Dan Orlovsky dissects the playoff chances for the Titans with backmost Ryan Tannehill injured.

What's astatine stake: According to ESPN's FPI, the Titans person a 59% accidental to marque the playoffs, which rises to 64% with a triumph oregon falls to 48% with a loss. And the Texans mightiness beryllium eliminated, but they person a 83% accidental to decorativeness with the apical prime successful the 2023 draft. In fact, they tin clinch it with a nonaccomplishment and a Bears win. See playoff picture.

Injuries: Texans | Titans

What to cognize for fantasy: 892 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns. That is Henry's rushing enactment implicit his past 4 games against the Texans. Four games. That's akin enactment connected the crushed to what Bengals moving backmost Joe Mixon has produced successful his past 16 games (949 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns). See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Houston is 16-7 ATS against Tennessee since 2011 (5-4 ATS vs Vrabel). Read more.

Moody's pick: Titans 23, Texans 20
Walder's pick: Titans 26, Texans 10
FPI prediction: TEN, 56.7% (by an mean of 2 points)

Matchup must-reads: Tunsil lone Texan to marque Pro Bowl roster ... Sources: Titans QB Tannehill (ankle) 'very likely' retired for season

Lions (7-7) astatine Panthers (5-9)

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: DET -2.5 (44)

What to ticker for: The Panthers and Lions are successful the playoff hunt, but for antithetic reasons. The Panthers are lone a crippled down Tampa Bay due to the fact that the NFC South is down, not due to the fact that they've been playing great. The Lions are successful the hunt for a wild-card spot due to the fact that they person been playing great, winning six of their past 7 games. The cardinal for some teams is the moving game. Carolina is 0-6 erstwhile it averages little than 4 yards a carry. Detroit ranks 14th successful the league successful rushing with 126.1 yards a game. -- David Newton

Bold prediction: Lions QB Jared Goff volition widen the longest streak of his vocation to 7 consecutive games without an interception. Goff has the Lions' discourtesy rolling arsenic helium continues to negociate the games and play businesslike football. With the Lions successful the playoff hunt and truthful overmuch astatine stake, I don't envision Goff regressing astatine this point. -- Eric Woodyard

Stat to know: Goff has gone 4 consecutive games with 35-plus attempts and nary interceptions. Doing truthful successful a 5th consecutive crippled would necktie the third-longest streak successful the Super Bowl epoch (Tom Brady's 7 successful 2022, Drew Brees' six successful 2015-16).

What's astatine stake: The Lions person a 28% accidental to marque the playoffs, according to ESPN's FPI. That goes up to 47% with a triumph and down to 13% with a loss. And the Panthers person an 18% accidental to marque the playoffs, which climbs to 26% with a triumph oregon falls to 8% with a loss. See playoff picture.

Injuries: Lions | Panthers

What to cognize for fantasy: DJ Moore has been a top-20 receiver successful each of his past 2 games, matching his play full anterior to this stretch. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Detroit has covered successful 7 consecutive games, its longest single-season screen streak successful the Super Bowl era. The Lions person won and covered 3 consecutive roadworthy games. Detroit has ne'er won and covered 4 consecutive roadworthy games successful the Super Bowl era. Read more.

Moody's pick: Lions 27, Panthers 17
Walder's pick: Panthers 26, Lions 24
FPI prediction: CAR, 58.5% (by an mean of 2.4 points)

Matchup must-reads: Believing Lions proceed playoff propulsion up of Carolina clash ... After Sunday's loss, Panthers inactive power playoff destiny but request to 'get ourselves right'

Commanders (7-6-1) astatine 49ers (10-4)

4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: SF -7 (37.5)

What to ticker for: The 49ers are riding a seven-game triumph streak, person clinched the NFC West Division and tin driblet to nary little than No. 3 successful the NFC playoffs, but truthful agelong arsenic the No. 2 effect is successful reach, they program to support pushing for it. The Commanders, meanwhile, are clinging to a playoff spot and could usage a triumph present connected a abbreviated week portion traveling crossed the state successful what volition beryllium a conflict betwixt 2 of the NFL's four-best defenses erstwhile it comes to mean yards allowed per game. -- Nick Wagoner

Bold prediction: Quarterback Carson Wentz volition play for Washington. He volition instrumentality due to the fact that the 49ers' defence -- ranked archetypal successful some scoring and yards -- volition marque beingness miserable for Taylor Heinicke. If Washington doesn't determination the shot successful the archetypal fractional and falls down by, say, 2 scores, past look for Wentz, who past played Oct. 13 earlier breaking his close ringing finger. Heinicke has started the past 8 games. While the squad is 5-2-1 with him, the discourtesy ranks 20th successful scoring contempt being 13th successful yards. It's not each connected Heinicke, but the 49ers volition marque Washington hopeless for a second-half spark. -- John Keim

Stat to know: Heinicke has a 10.6 QBR and averages 3.9 yards per dropback connected 3rd down this play -- some the worst successful the NFL. His 51% completion percent connected 3rd down this play ranks 31st retired of 33 qualified quarterbacks.

What's astatine stake: The Niners are NFC West champs, but the Commanders inactive person a batch connected the line. ESPN's FPI gives them a 35% accidental to marque the playoffs. Win, and that volition spell up to 65%. Lose? Expect a driblet to 22%. See playoff picture.

Injuries: Commanders | 49ers

What to cognize for fantasy: 49ers choky extremity George Kittle scored doubly past week but has not caught much than 4 passes successful a crippled since October. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: San Francisco is 8-2 ATS successful league games this season. Read more.

Moody's pick: 49ers 25, Commanders 13
Walder's pick: 49ers 29, Commanders 21
FPI prediction: SF, 67.4% (by an mean of 5.1 points)

Matchup must-reads: Commanders sticking with Heinicke astatine QB for now ... McCaffrey has been focal constituent of 49ers' second-half surge ... Commanders participate important agelong with small borderline for error ... Purdy passes different trial to pb 49ers to NFC West title ... Commanders' Young volition play vs. 49ers ... Getting 49ers' sixth Super Bowl rubric information for GM John Lynch

Eagles (13-1) astatine Cowboys (10-4)

4:25 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: DAL -5 (46.5)

What to ticker for: The Eagles tin clinch the NFC East rubric and home-field vantage with a triumph that volition person to travel without starting backmost Jalen Hurts, who has a sprained close shoulder. With a win, the Cowboys tin support their tiny hopes for a part rubric live and possibly nonstop a connection for a imaginable playoff rematch. Philadelphia won the archetypal gathering of the year, but the Cowboys did not person Dak Prescott, who was successful the last stages of a instrumentality from a fractured close thumb. -- Todd Archer

Bold prediction: The Cowboys volition beryllium held to 20 points oregon fewer. That hasn't happened since Prescott returned to the starting lineup successful Week 7. In fact, Dallas has averaged 35.5 points per crippled since Prescott came backmost from his thumb injury. But the Eagles' defence is No. 1 successful walk defence (172.4 yards per game), interceptions (15) and sacks (55). With Hurts retired of the lineup, the defence volition elevate its crippled to unafraid the triumph and the No. 1 wide effect successful the NFC. -- Tim McManus

Stat to know: The Eagles' defence has recorded six-plus sacks successful 3 consecutive games, which is tied for the second-longest streak since the NFL archetypal began tracking squad sacks successful 1963.

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Tyler Fulghum says helium expects fireworks from some the Eagles and the Cowboys, starring him to instrumentality the implicit connected full points.

What's astatine stake: Philadelphia volition adjacent retired the NFC East rubric with a triumph oregon tie. And it tin adjacent clinch the apical effect successful the league with either a triumph oregon a necktie positive a Vikings loss/tie. Dallas joins Philadelphia arsenic a playoff team, but its hopes of overtaking the Eagles for the part are bleak (1%, per ESPN's FPI). See playoff picture.

Injuries: Eagles | Cowboys

What to cognize for fantasy: Miles Sanders was the second-highest-scoring moving backmost from Weeks 12 to 14 earlier turning successful a RB64 decorativeness successful Week 15 (1.9 phantasy points). See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Each of the past 4 meetings betwixt the Cowboys and Eagles went implicit the total. Read more.

Moody's pick: Eagles 31, Cowboys 28
Walder's pick: Eagles 24, Cowboys 20
FPI prediction: DAL, 70.1% (by an mean of 6.3 points)

Matchup must-reads: What the Eagles privation to spot from Minshew ... Can the Cowboys debar different playoff flop? ... NFC East showdown: Do the Eagles person the amended roster? ... Jerry Jones: Odds Cowboys motion Beckham Jr. successful '22 fading ... Philly leads Pro Bowl with 8 selections

Raiders (6-8) astatine Steelers (6-8)

8:15 p.m. ET | NFL Network | Spread: PIT -2.5 (38.5)

What to ticker for: This is going to beryllium an old-school smashmouth shot game, the due mode to grant the 50th day of the "Immaculate Reception" and the representation of Steelers legendary moving backmost Franco Harris, who died abruptly this week. "We bash look guardant to honoring him and his bequest this weekend," manager Mike Tomlin said Wednesday. Temperatures astatine kickoff are projected to beryllium successful the azygous digits with a upwind chill beneath zero. This volition unfastened the doorway for a crippled dominated connected the crushed by Steelers moving backmost Najee Harris and the Raiders' Josh Jacobs, the NFL's rushing leader. -- Brooke Pryor

Bold prediction: Neither the freezing upwind nor the Steelers' No. 7 tally defence volition dilatory Jacobs, who leads the NFL with 1,495 rushing yards, from joining his idol successful the grounds publication connected Christmas Eve. Jacobs needs conscionable 5 rushing yards, but 142 all-purpose yards, to articulation Marcus Allen arsenic the lone players successful Raiders franchise past with 1,500-plus unreserved yards and 2,000-plus scrimmage yards successful a azygous season. Allen accomplished the feat successful his 1985 NFL MVP season. -- Paul Gutierrez

Stat to know: A Steelers nonaccomplishment guarantees their archetypal losing play since 2003 (6-10), which would drawback a streak of 18 consecutive seasons without a losing grounds -- the third-longest streak successful NFL past aft the Cowboys (21 consecutive from 1965 to 1985) and Patriots (19 consecutive from 2001 to 2019).

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Chris Berman reacts to the decease of Steelers fable Franco Harris, who was 72.

What's astatine stake: ESPN's FPI has some teams beneath 5% to marque the playoffs, and each has an elimination script successful play successful Week 16. The Raiders volition beryllium retired with a loss, a Chargers triumph and a triumph from the Dolphins oregon Patriots. And the Steelers would beryllium eliminated with a nonaccomplishment oregon wins from the Chargers and Dolphins. Las Vegas is projected to person the No. 10 draught slot, portion Pittsburgh is astatine No. 12. See playoff picture.

Injuries: Raiders | Steelers

What to cognize for fantasy: Davante Adams was held to nether 40 yards past week by the Patriots, the 2nd clip that has happened since the opening of October. His follow-up crippled the past clip it happened? Season highs successful catches (10) and targets (17) for 146 yards and a brace of scores. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Las Vegas has covered 5 consecutive meetings. Tomlin is 1-6 ATS and 2-5 outright against Las Vegas contempt being favored successful each game. Read more.

Moody's pick: Steelers 24, Raiders 14
Walder's pick: Raiders 26, Steelers 19
FPI prediction: LV, 55.7% (by an mean of 1.8 points)

Matchup must-reads: There's inactive a chance: How the Raiders tin marque the playoffs ... Franco Harris embraced his ain Steelers fable done last hours ... Raiders stun Patriots successful 'unbelievable' ending ... Sports satellite reacts to the decease of Steelers large Franco Harris ... Trubisky receives vindication successful what mightiness beryllium his Steelers curtain call

Packers (6-8) astatine Dolphins (8-6)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: MIA -3.5 (50)

What to ticker for: The Dolphins would emotion to support the shot retired of Aaron Rodgers' hands, but they've struggled to power the shot during their three-game losing streak. Since Week 13, Miami ranks past successful the league successful mean clip of possession per drive; Green Bay, connected the different hand, is 2nd successful the league successful the aforesaid category. The Dolphins besides fertile 28th during that clip framework successful 3rd down defense, allowing opponents to person connected 49% of attempts. That volition person to amended if they privation to extremity this skid and further solidify themselves successful the AFC playoff picture. -- Marcel Louis-Jacques

Bold prediction: Even though the Dolphins person the 10th-best tally defence successful the NFL, the Packers volition people aggregate rushing touchdowns. AJ Dillon has tally for 3 scores successful the past 2 games, and the Packers had aggregate rushing touchdowns successful consecutive games against the Bears and Rams. But they haven't had aggregate rushing scores successful 3 consecutive games since 2009. -- Rob Demovsky

Stat to know: Mason Crosby is expected to play successful his 256th vocation crippled Sunday, which would interruption a necktie with Brett Favre for astir successful Packers franchise past (both Favre and Crosby ne'er missed a game).

What's astatine stake: The Dolphins participate Week 16 with a 75% accidental of making the playoffs, per ESPN's FPI. Chances summation to 82% with a triumph oregon driblet to 64% with a nonaccomplishment (independent of what happens Saturday). The Packers, though, person a 12% accidental that improves to 26% with a win. And Green Bay tin really beryllium eliminated Sunday with a nonaccomplishment and a Commanders win. See playoff picture.

Injuries: Packers | Dolphins

What to cognize for fantasy: Packers receiver Christian Watson was (finally) held retired of the extremity zone, but his usage (four catches, six targets) mirrored that of his historical four-game stretch, adjacent with Romeo Doubs back. Watson has elite upside, but games similar this (46 yards) are precise overmuch successful the scope of outcomes. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Tua Tagovailoa is 12-4 ATS successful his vocation astatine home. Read more.

Moody's pick: Dolphins 32, Packers 24
Walder's pick: Dolphins 41, Packers 17
FPI prediction: MIA, 58.6% (by an mean of 2.5 points)

Matchup must-reads: Rodgers connected Packers' playoff push: 'Things are looking up ... No 'moral victories,' but Dolphins encouraged contempt nonaccomplishment to the Bills

Broncos (4-10) astatine Rams (4-10)

Sunday, 4:30 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: DEN -2.5 (36.5)

What to ticker for: The Broncos are 0-6 successful existent roadworthy games this play -- they won successful London arsenic the designated roadworthy squad -- but haven't gone winless connected the roadworthy since they went 0-7 successful 1964. Quarterback Russell Wilson, successful his archetypal play successful Denver, is 8-13 against the Rams, including the playoffs, his astir losses against immoderate opponent. -- Sarah Barshop

Bold prediction: Wilson, who was held retired of past weekend's crippled against the Cardinals, volition person this 3rd crippled of the play with 2 oregon much touchdown passes. But -- and it's a important but -- lone if Wilson shows much patience against the Rams' dense dose of portion coverages with cornerbacks successful off-coverage. Wilson has been excessively speedy to walk connected plentifulness of disposable completions successful the abbreviated and intermediate areas successful favour of high-risk throws to bracketed receivers. If helium avoids that, the Broncos volition determination the ball. -- Jeff Legwold

Stat to know: The Rams person won 4 consecutive meetings vs. the Broncos. The Broncos' astir caller triumph vs. the Rams was Week 1 successful 2002, erstwhile the Broncos were quarterbacked by Brian Griese and the Rams were quarterbacked by Kurt Warner and based successful St. Louis.

What's astatine stake: Here's an casual one. Both teams person been eliminated from playoff contention ... and some teams nary longer person a first-round draught prime to interest themselves with. See playoff picture.

Injuries: Broncos | Rams

What to cognize for fantasy: Cam Akers totaled 100 yards against the Packers connected Monday night, and his 3 catches (he had a full of 2 since September entering that game) were encouraging. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Denver has covered 3 consecutive games aft starting the play 3-8 ATS. Read more.

Moody's pick: Broncos 17, Rams 13
Walder's pick: Broncos 16, Rams 10
FPI prediction: LAR, 53.8% (by an mean of 1.1 points)

Matchup must-reads: How Broncos support Demaryius Thomas' bequest going ... Stafford says helium has nary plans to discontinue this offseason ... Former Broncos RB Hillman dies of crab astatine 31 ... 'Very humbling season': Rams retired of playoff picture

Buccaneers (6-8) astatine Cardinals (4-10)

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Spread: TB -7.5 (40)

What to ticker for: Cardinals third-string backmost Trace McSorley -- the erstwhile Penn State prima successful his 4th NFL play -- volition get his archetypal vocation commencement Sunday nether the agleam lights of prime-time shot connected Christmas night. That's each you request to cognize astir this game. He's been taking his archetypal existent signifier snaps of the play this week, which manager Kliff Kingsbury hopes volition springiness McSorley a warring accidental against a accelerated Tampa Bay defense. -- Josh Weinfuss

Bold prediction: Assuming the Bucs don't person a second-half illness similar past week, they'll unreserved for 120 yards -- their third-highest full of the season. The Cardinals person surrendered 356 phantasy points against the unreserved this season, the seventh astir of immoderate team. -- Jenna Laine

Stat to know: Mike Evans needs 112 receiving yards for his ninth consecutive 1,000-yard receiving season, which would necktie Tim Brown for the second-longest streak each clip (Jerry Rice, 11 straight). Evans already owns the longest streak of 1,000-yard receiving seasons to commencement a career.

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Mike Tannenbaum and Dan Graziano aren't assured that Tom Brady volition discontinue but anticipation helium does.

What's astatine stake: Despite a 6-8 record, the Buccaneers inactive person a 76% accidental to triumph the NFC South, per ESPN's FPI. That would amended to 82% with a triumph Sunday oregon autumn to 61% with a loss. The Cardinals are eliminated from the playoffs but are projected to person the 3rd prime successful the draft. See playoff picture.

Injuries: Buccaneers | Cardinals

What to cognize for fantasy: Evans was the 29th-highest-scoring receiver successful Week 15, a level benignant of crippled successful erstwhile years but his champion decorativeness since Week 8 this season. Tough year, but playing connected a pass-centric discourtesy should support him connected your radar. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Tom Brady is 2-15 ATS successful his past 17 prime-time games, including playoffs. Read more.

Moody's pick: Buccaneers 27, Cardinals 12
Walder's pick: Buccaneers 23, Cardinals 7
FPI prediction: TB, 77% (by an mean of 8.6 points)

Matchup must-reads: Wirfs lone Buccaneer to marque Pro Bowl roster ... Cardinals' McCoy out; McSorley acceptable for archetypal NFL start ... One crippled apart: Here's a breakdown of the chaotic NFC South heading into the playoffs

Chargers (8-6) astatine Colts (4-9-1)

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Spread: LAC -4.5 (45.5)

What to ticker for: The Colts are starting their 3rd backmost of the play arsenic they crook to Nick Foles aft benching Matt Ryan for the 2nd time. Foles has started conscionable 1 crippled successful the past 2 seasons, starring the Bears to a triumph implicit the Seahawks successful Week 16 past season. And due to the fact that Foles has been constricted astir exclusively to scout-team duties this play successful Indianapolis, helium has not had overmuch accidental to enactment with the starting discourtesy since grooming camp. That should marque for an absorbing crippled plan. -- Stephen Holder

Bold prediction: Despite playing precocious without Pro Bowl information Derwin James Jr., who is nursing a quadriceps injury, the Chargers' defence is hitting its stride, allowing an mean of 15.5 points implicit the past 2 games. Watch for Khalil Mack and the Bolts to grounds 5 sacks against Foles, who volition beryllium playing down an violative enactment with a league-worst 46.9% walk artifact triumph rate. -- Lindsey Thiry

Stat to know: Austin Ekeler has 95 receptions this play (21 much than immoderate different RB). He could go the 5th RB successful NFL past with 100 receptions successful a season.

What's astatine stake: Some much clinching scenarios here. The Chargers clinch a playoff berth with a triumph and a Raiders loss/tie positive 1 of these 2 outcomes: (1) nonaccomplishment by the Patriots oregon (2) nonaccomplishment by the Dolphins, positive a Patriots tie. ESPN's FPI has L.A. astatine 94% to marque the playoffs. On the flip side, the Colts were eliminated Thursday erstwhile the Jaguars won. Indy is looking astatine the No. 6 draught pick. See playoff picture.

Injuries: Chargers | Colts

What to cognize for fantasy: Michael Pittman Jr. has been a top-25 receiver successful 3 of his past 4 games and should proceed to connection an elevated level with Jonathan Taylor connected the shelf. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Overs are 4-1 successful Indianapolis games nether interim manager Jeff Saturday, including a existent three-game streak. Read more.

Moody's pick: Chargers 28, Colts 23
Walder's pick: Chargers 24, Colts 13
FPI prediction: LAC, 72.6% (by an mean of 7 points)

Matchup must-reads: How the Chargers tin clinch a playoff spot ... Colts seat QB Ryan, to commencement Foles vs. Chargers ... Chargers CB Jackson arrested aft 'family issue'

Source ESPN